Statistics for Open Systems Thinkers & First Advanced Module for OST

 

1. Statistics for Open Systems Thinkers

A two day course with Merrelyn Emery

 

Most statistics in social science belong within the reductionist, non-systematic approach to empirical data and analysis. This draws its inspiration and approach from the reductionist models used in the so-called hard sciences and sticks with that despite accumulating evidence and approaches within these sciences themselves that the phenomena under investigation are systemic. The non systemic approach takes its base from Fisher’s statistics of regression etc which were developed specifically for strictly controlled experiments. These statistics have never been able to develop forms of systemic, or ‘cluster’ analysis with more than a handful of variables.

 

For those who recognize that the social sciences face even greater challenges with the systemic, and open systemic, nature of their subject matter, people in environment, than those dealing with inanimate matter (and there has long been such a stream within the social sciences) the inadequacy of the above approach has been a matter of concern. Many have responded to aspects of the challenge and there are indeed now a raft of proven approaches which taken together provide a comprehensive base for reliable systemic data collection and analysis. Not only is this approach comprehensive but it is also relatively simple for anyone who understands the basics of scientific method, statistics and number theory.

 

This course provides a comprehensive and hands on introduction to the systemic approach. Every segment has examples attached which are worked through during the course. “If you can’t do it, you don’t understand it.”

 

***This course assumes basic statistical knowledge***

This is a definite prerequisite. If you do not have a working knowledge of descriptive and correlation based statistics, please do a basic course in statistics for the social sciences before you enrol.

 

***Please bring a pencil, eraser, calculator and

plenty of large square graph paper (not < 0.5 cm2)***

 

Key reference materials and notes are provided

 

Course Content

1. Questionnaire design - contextualization and technical factors

 

The fundamentals of adequate Questionnaire design are simple and constantly ignored. The result is frequently data which is either misleading or uninterpretable in any rigorous sense. When the demand is for data applicable to systemic multivariate analysis, the demands on data collection are radically increased. Depending on the purposes of the study, the dimensions of the Q’naire design from the point of view of content can undergo a further quantum leap. For genuinely scientific studies based on OST, there is of course a further requirement of understanding the conceptual framework itself.

 

2. Multivariate analysis - causal path (Emery - McQuitty)

 

Building on McQuitty’s work with linkage analysis, Fred Emery developed this rigorous form of hierarchical causal path analysis which allows the researcher to see the patterns and total interrelationships within a body of data. This method breaks totally with the reductionist approach and allows the dynamics of any open system to be explored. The number of variables in any given study is unlimited. It has been widely used in studies from market research to trends in the extended social field and can be used in conjunction with any variety of more conventional statistical tools.

 

After the initial practical learning using small examples from ‘job satisfaction’ and ‘phone usage and marketing’ studies, participants will gain further learning and experience by using this method in conjunction with the following statistics.

 

3. From Qualitative to Quantitative

 

(a) The Geisser Index is a variety of correlation which allows the transformation of qualitative into quantitative data. Any data from qualitative sources such as semi structured group interviews (otherwise known as ‘focus groups’), Searches etc is appropriate.

 

Participants practice with data re ‘improving quality of work life’ and then find the systemic interrelationships in the data using causal path analysis.

 

 (b) The Tau Correlation is the most reliable and accurate form of rank correlation. It allows any data to be ranked and then transformed into rank correlations. This means that data in such forms as percentages or means can also be transformed and similarly entered into a correlation matrix amenable to causal path analysis.

 

Participants practice with data from a study of ‘intercultural perceptions’ and again subject the transformed data to causal path analysis. In each example, different dimensions of this method will be learnt.

 

4. Building Scales and the Master Matrix

 

For studies with a number of variables larger than say 50, there is a need to break the analysis into two levels. This applies particularly when there is reason, for example, to believe that the causal path for females will be markedly different from that of males. This will involve the researcher in 3 separate analyses, of the total sample and the 2 genders. Other groupings of the data may be required.

 

The first level analysis involves compiling scales from the systemic data which become a master matrix. This master then becomes the base for the second levels of analysis. Knowledge of the conceptual framework and a good working general knowledge of classic social science, and open systems theory,  is highly desirable if not essential in being able to generate a master matrix, the analysis of which makes a contribution to the accumulation of social science knowledge. The answers from this systemic analysis frequently cast a totally different light on the subject than analyses based on separating out one or two variables at a time.

 

What you will Learn

 

How to make meaning of data with a much higher probability of it being close to reality.

 

Who Should Attend

 

Anybody who does empirical and/or action research who wants to know what the overall data is telling them.

 

2. First Advanced Module for OST

A two day course with Merrelyn Emery

 

This two day module explores additional concepts to the introductory course and takes others to much greater detail and levels of understanding. As with the introductory course, all work is dealt with both theoretically and practically. Participants will be theoretically briefed before working in groups to answer questions, solve problems and plan pieces of work. Some examples and questions are set to allow participants to think their way through the concepts, others will involve participant’s own examples. Please be prepared to discuss projects and programs in which you are currently working or will have to work on in the near future.

 

*** Prerequisite: Previous attendance at the introductory course***

If you have not attended the introductory course, you will have to prove that you have gained the required knowledge from other sources.

 

Key reference materials and notes are provided

Participants will be required to study the material beforehand and be prepared to think conceptually about it.

 

 

Course Content

1. The Type IV Extended Social Field of Directive Correlations

 

It’s origin, current nature and future.

 

2. Directive Correlations

 

Detailed exploration and their use in planning and problem solving. The rest of the course builds on directive correlations as a major tool in open systems work.

 

3. Consciousness and knowings

 

Their nature and role in the open systems conceptualization of human beings and their behaviour.

 

4. Maladaptions

 

Their theoretical origins from the open system and parameters of decision making, their current nature and future.

 

5. The ABX Model

 

Explored in terms of directive correlation and its usefulness in planning large scale projects

 

What You Will Learn

·        Greater detail of a wider range of open systems concepts

·        How to use conceptual tools for more precise planning and problem solving

 

Who Should Attend

·        Those who have a theoretical interest in open systems

·        Those who want to be able to function as practitioners with a more comprehensive and reliable range of easily applicable but quite precise tools

 

Last Updated: February 4, 2000